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22 Oct · 21:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1295
1-3Final setsRolak won
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1286
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rolak at 50%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Rolak 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jaroslaw Rolak favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 76.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jaroslaw Rolak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jaroslaw Rolak −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Rolak.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 46% → final 98%
Jaroslaw Rolak ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsLukaszewski recovered from 40%72 points · 5 games