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22 Oct · 21:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JZJacek Zelezik
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1636
3-1Final setsZelezik won
DMDariusz Molenda
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1763
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Molenda at 65%. The actual result was Jacek Zelezik 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dariusz Molenda favoured — closing 1.37
Upset
Total 71.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dariusz Molenda −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dariusz Molenda −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jacek Zelezik is favoured to win, below means Dariusz Molenda.

▲ Jacek Zelezikpre 37% → final 97%
Dariusz Molenda ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsZelezik recovered from 34%72 points · 4 games