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22 Oct · 21:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJerzy Michalik
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1482
3-2Final setsMichalik won
AZArtur Zmijewski
🇵🇱Artur Zmijewski
ELO 1636
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zmijewski at 65%. The actual result was Jerzy Michalik 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Zmijewski favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Total 74.5
95 points played
Over
Set handicap
Artur Zmijewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Artur Zmijewski −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jerzy Michalik is favoured to win, below means Artur Zmijewski.

▲ Jerzy Michalikpre 30% → final 74%
Artur Zmijewski ▼
Biggest swing 83 ptsMichalik recovered from 9%72 points · 5 games