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Ratings & Predictions
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22 Oct · 22:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1581
1-3Final setsLebek won
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1556
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 52%. The actual result was Marian Lebek 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 73.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marek Tkocz is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Marek Tkoczpre 56% → final 11%
Marian Lebek ▼
Biggest swing 54 ptsLebek recovered from 44%72 points · 4 games