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22 Oct · 22:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MPMichal Paszkiewicz
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1465
2-3Final setsBernacki won
LBLukasz Bernacki
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1489
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Paszkiewicz at 51%. The actual result was Lukasz Bernacki 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukasz Bernacki favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 75.5
101 points played
Over
Set handicap
Lukasz Bernacki −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lukasz Bernacki −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Paszkiewicz is favoured to win, below means Lukasz Bernacki.

▲ Michal Paszkiewiczpre 47% → final 50%
Lukasz Bernacki ▼
Biggest swing 87 ptsPaszkiewicz recovered from 6%72 points · 5 games