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22 Oct · 22:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1421
3-1Final setsJurowicz won
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1581
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 67%. The actual result was Grzegorz Jurowicz 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Tkocz favoured — closing 1.45
Upset
Total 72.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marek Tkocz −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Jurowicz is favoured to win, below means Marek Tkocz.

▲ Grzegorz Jurowiczpre 35% → final 93%
Marek Tkocz ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsJurowicz recovered from 32%67 points · 4 games