Mikolaj Lukaszewski vs Bartlomiej Mrugala — TT Elite Series

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22 Oct · 23:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski

ELO 1295

3-1Final setsLukaszewski won

🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala

ELO 1321

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mrugala at 53%. The actual result was Mikolaj Lukaszewski 3-1 — the underdog won.

Mikolaj Lukaszewski — profile →Bartlomiej Mrugala — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Mikolaj Lukaszewski favoured — closing 1.8

Favourite won

Total 75.5

76 points played

Over

Set handicap

Mikolaj Lukaszewski −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Mikolaj Lukaszewski −0.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

4.3

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Mrugala.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 43% → final 13%

Bartlomiej Mrugala ▼

Biggest swing 49 ptsMrugala recovered from 38%72 points · 4 games