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23 Oct · 00:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MTMateusz Trela
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1347
3-1Final setsTrela won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1295
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Trela at 54%. The actual result was Mateusz Trela 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Trela favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Total 77.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mateusz Trela −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mateusz Trela −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Trela is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Mateusz Trelapre 58% → final 96%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsTrela recovered from 25%72 points · 4 games