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23 Oct · 02:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
LBLukasz Bernacki
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1489
0-3Final setsTkocz won
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1581
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 59%. The actual result was Marek Tkocz 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Tkocz favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 74.5
54 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marek Tkocz −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Bernacki is favoured to win, below means Marek Tkocz.

▲ Lukasz Bernackipre 37% → final 1%
Marek Tkocz ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsTkocz recovered from 43%53 points · 3 games