23 Oct · 05:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1145
FormLLLLL
90%Win chancemodel fair 1.11Zelezik
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1636
FormWWWLW
10%
90%
🌟Barton rarely covers set handicap as underdog 35% (63)
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 90% · 1.11vsMarket 91% · 1.10· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 76%Total ~71 pts
0-3
45%
1-3
32%
2-3
14%
3-2
5%
3-1
4%
Elo Gap+491
H2H12-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+491)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-0)