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23 Oct · 04:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DKDaniel Kostal
🇵🇱Daniel Kostal
ELO 1588
3-0Final setsKostal won
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1648
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 62%. The actual result was Daniel Kostal 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kolek favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 74.5
57 points played
Under
Set handicap
Kolek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kolek −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
9.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Daniel Kostal is favoured to win, below means Maciej Kolek.

▲ Daniel Kostalpre 34% → final 98%
Maciej Kolek ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsKostal recovered from 22%56 points · 3 games