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DeuceLab
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23 Oct · 04:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1692
2-3Final setsRutkowski won
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1632
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 56%. The actual result was Mateusz Rutkowski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 75.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Rutkowski.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 53% → final 5%
Mateusz Rutkowski ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsRutkowski recovered from 37%72 points · 5 games