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23 Oct · 05:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1648
1-3Final setsJendrzejewski won
PJPatryk Jendrzejewski
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1711
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jendrzejewski at 52%. The actual result was Patryk Jendrzejewski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patryk Jendrzejewski favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Total 73.5
66 points played
Under
Set handicap
Patryk Jendrzejewski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Patryk Jendrzejewski −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Kolek is favoured to win, below means Patryk Jendrzejewski.

▲ Maciej Kolekpre 51% → final 7%
Patryk Jendrzejewski ▼
Biggest swing 53 ptsJendrzejewski recovered from 42%64 points · 4 games