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← TT Elite Series predictions
23 Oct · 05:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DKDaniel Kostal
🇵🇱Daniel Kostal
ELO 1588
2-3Final setsPoliniewicz won
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1692
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 63%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 74.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Daniel Kostal is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Poliniewicz.

▲ Daniel Kostalpre 33% → final 4%
Grzegorz Poliniewicz ▼
Biggest swing 83 ptsPoliniewicz recovered from 16%72 points · 5 games