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23 Oct · 06:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MPMichal Paszkiewicz
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1465
3-1Final setsPaszkiewicz won
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1543
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 60%. The actual result was Michal Paszkiewicz 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawel Kurek favoured — closing 1.47
Upset
Total 72.5
74 points played
Over
Set handicap
Pawel Kurek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pawel Kurek −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Paszkiewicz is favoured to win, below means Pawel Kurek.

▲ Michal Paszkiewiczpre 43% → final 0%
Pawel Kurek ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsKurek recovered from 38%68 points · 4 games