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23 Oct · 07:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
OSOliwier Sokolowski
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1432
3-2Final setsSokolowski won
MPMichal Paszkiewicz
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1465
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Paszkiewicz at 55%. The actual result was Oliwier Sokolowski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Paszkiewicz favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 74.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Paszkiewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Paszkiewicz −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Oliwier Sokolowski is favoured to win, below means Michal Paszkiewicz.

▲ Oliwier Sokolowskipre 41% → final 89%
Michal Paszkiewicz ▼
Biggest swing 87 ptsSokolowski recovered from 12%72 points · 5 games