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23 Oct · 07:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1543
1-3Final setsLebek won
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1558
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 52%. The actual result was Marian Lebek 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 73.5
66 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Pawel Kurekpre 51% → final 95%
Marian Lebek ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsKurek recovered from 29%72 points · 4 games