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23 Oct · 08:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
LOLukasz Oracz
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1510
3-1Final setsOracz won
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1558
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 58%. The actual result was Lukasz Oracz 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.5
Upset
Total 73.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Oracz is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Lukasz Oraczpre 38% → final 94%
Marian Lebek ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsOracz recovered from 23%68 points · 4 games