23 Oct · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MR
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1632
FormWLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Jendrzejewski
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1711
FormWWWWL
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rutkowski🌟Rutkowski covers set handicap as underdog 68% (176)
Fair odds · Jendrzejewski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H69-44
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (69-44)