23 Oct · 12:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AM
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1395
FormLLLWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1546
FormLWLLW
34%
66%
🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (45)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+151
H2H46-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+151)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-36)