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23 Oct · 12:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1602
1-3Final setsWisniewski won
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1542
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rutkowski at 59%. The actual result was Karol Wisniewski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Karol Wisniewski favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 74.5
80 points played
Over
Set handicap
Karol Wisniewski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Karol Wisniewski −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Karol Wisniewski.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 56% → final 96%
Karol Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 54 ptsRutkowski recovered from 42%72 points · 4 games