23 Oct · 18:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JW
🇵🇱Jakub Wozniak
ELO 1393
FormWWWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1547
FormWWWLL
34%
66%
🌟Wozniak rarely covers set handicap as underdog 30% (20)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+154
H2H15-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+154)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-9)