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23 Oct · 13:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KSKonrad Staszczyk
🇵🇱Konrad Staszczyk
ELO 1761
3-2Final setsStaszczyk won
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1602
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Staszczyk at 65%. The actual result was Konrad Staszczyk 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Konrad Staszczyk favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Total 73.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Konrad Staszczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Konrad Staszczyk −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Konrad Staszczyk is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Rutkowski.

▲ Konrad Staszczykpre 70% → final 96%
Mateusz Rutkowski ▼
Biggest swing 41 pts72 points · 5 games