Rafal Idaczyk vs Jerzy Pelka — TT Elite Series

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23 Oct · 13:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk

ELO 1444

1-3Final setsPelka won

🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka

ELO 1521

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pelka at 55%. The actual result was Jerzy Pelka 1-3 — the pick was correct.

Rafal Idaczyk — profile →Jerzy Pelka — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Jerzy Pelka favoured — closing 1.8

Favourite won

Set handicap

Jerzy Pelka −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Jerzy Pelka −0.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Idaczyk is favoured to win, below means Jerzy Pelka.

▲ Rafal Idaczykpre 41% → final 21%

Jerzy Pelka ▼

Biggest swing 74 ptsPelka recovered from 18%72 points · 4 games