23 Oct · 18:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1435
FormLLLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1543
FormLLWWL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)