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23 Oct · 13:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBartlomiej Mleczko
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1465
0-3Final setsMugowski won
AMArkadiusz Mugowski
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1403
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mleczko at 59%. The actual result was Arkadiusz Mugowski 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartlomiej Mleczko favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Set handicap
Bartlomiej Mleczko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bartlomiej Mleczko −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mleczko is favoured to win, below means Arkadiusz Mugowski.

▲ Bartlomiej Mleczkopre 56% → final 1%
Arkadiusz Mugowski ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsMugowski recovered from 32%51 points · 3 games