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23 Oct · 14:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1564
2-3Final setsJendrzejewski won
PJPatryk Jendrzejewski
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1730
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jendrzejewski at 67%. The actual result was Patryk Jendrzejewski 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patryk Jendrzejewski favoured — closing 1.4
Favourite won
Set handicap
Patryk Jendrzejewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Patryk Jendrzejewski −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Czerwinski is favoured to win, below means Patryk Jendrzejewski.

▲ Bartosz Czerwinskipre 35% → final 12%
Patryk Jendrzejewski ▼
Biggest swing 32 pts60 points · 3 games