23 Oct · 20:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1596
FormLLLWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Hetnar
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1435
FormLLLWW
67%
33%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+161
H2H26-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+161)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-21)