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23 Oct · 15:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1660
2-3Final setsWozniczka won
MWMarcin Wozniczka
🇵🇱Marcin Wozniczka
ELO 1483
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 71%. The actual result was Marcin Wozniczka 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Cezary Pawlik favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 73.5
93 points played
Over
Set handicap
Cezary Pawlik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Cezary Pawlik −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Marcin Wozniczka.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 76% → final 3%
Marcin Wozniczka ▼
Biggest swing 84 ptsWozniczka recovered from 13%72 points · 5 games