23 Oct · 18:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1361
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Strus
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1289
FormLLWWL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Lukaszewski🌟Strus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 7% (14)
Fair odds · Strus
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+72
H2H15-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-14)