23 Oct · 19:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MN
🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec
ELO 1426
FormLWLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Jedrzejowski
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jedrzejowski
ELO 1568
FormLWWLL
35%
65%
🌟Jedrzejowski stays under total as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Jedrzejowski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+142
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)