Cezary Pawlik vs Michal Natkaniec — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

23 Oct · 18:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik

ELO 1680

3-2Final setsPawlik won

🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec

ELO 1430

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 74%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Cezary Pawlik — profile →Michal Natkaniec — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Pawlik favoured — closing 1.18

Favourite won

Total 69.5

96 points played

Over

Set handicap

Pawlik −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Pawlik −9.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

5.1

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Michal Natkaniec.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 73% → final 100%

Michal Natkaniec ▼

Biggest swing 38 pts72 points · 5 games