23 Oct · 21:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1403
FormLWLWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Guzik
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1584
FormWWWWW
31%
69%
Fair odds · Guzik
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+181
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+181)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)