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DeuceLab
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23 Oct · 19:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JBJaroslaw Badura
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura
ELO 1532
3-0Final setsBadura won
JMJakub Michalski
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1351
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Badura at 68%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Badura 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jaroslaw Badura favoured — closing 1.37
Favourite won
Total 73.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jaroslaw Badura −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jaroslaw Badura −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
3.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Badura is favoured to win, below means Jakub Michalski.

▲ Jaroslaw Badurapre 73% → final 98%
Jakub Michalski ▼
Biggest swing 33 pts54 points · 3 games