23 Oct · 22:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1426
FormLWWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Szlubowski
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1276
FormLLLLW
66%
34%
🔥 Underdog lean · Lukaszewski🌟Szlubowski goes over total as favourite 81% (16)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+150
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)