23 Oct · 21:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jedrzejowski
ELO 1558
FormLLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Jedrzejowski
MW
🇵🇱Marcin Wozniczka
ELO 1472
FormLLWWW
59%
41%
🌟Jedrzejowski stays under total as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Jedrzejowski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+86
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)