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23 Oct · 20:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GSGrzegorz Sawicki
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1328
3-2Final setsSawicki won
JMJakub Michalski
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1359
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Michalski at 51%. The actual result was Grzegorz Sawicki 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Michalski favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Set handicap
Jakub Michalski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Michalski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Sawicki is favoured to win, below means Jakub Michalski.

▲ Grzegorz Sawickipre 45% → final 89%
Jakub Michalski ▼
Biggest swing 86 ptsSawicki recovered from 3%72 points · 5 games