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← TT Elite Series predictions
23 Oct · 20:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MNMichal Natkaniec
🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec
ELO 1449
2-3Final setsWozniczka won
MWMarcin Wozniczka
🇵🇱Marcin Wozniczka
ELO 1457
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wozniczka at 54%. The actual result was Marcin Wozniczka 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Wozniczka favoured — closing 1.5
Favourite won
Total 73.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marcin Wozniczka −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Wozniczka −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Natkaniec is favoured to win, below means Marcin Wozniczka.

▲ Michal Natkaniecpre 49% → final 22%
Marcin Wozniczka ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsWozniczka recovered from 20%72 points · 5 games