Michal Natkaniec vs Cezary Pawlik — TT Elite Series

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23 Oct · 22:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec

ELO 1449

3-2Final setsNatkaniec won

🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik

ELO 1650

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 76%. The actual result was Michal Natkaniec 3-2 — the underdog won.

Michal Natkaniec — profile →Cezary Pawlik — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Cezary Pawlik favoured — closing 1.15

Upset

Total 68.5

100 points played

Over

Set handicap

Cezary Pawlik −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Cezary Pawlik −10.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

11.5

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Natkaniec is favoured to win, below means Cezary Pawlik.

▲ Michal Natkaniecpre 25% → final 0%

Cezary Pawlik ▼

Biggest swing 36 pts72 points · 5 games