Dawid Poloszczanski vs Bartlomiej Mrugala — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

23 Oct · 22:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski

ELO 1294

2-3Final setsMrugala won

🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala

ELO 1330

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mrugala at 51%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mrugala 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Dawid Poloszczanski — profile →Bartlomiej Mrugala — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Dawid Poloszczanski favoured — closing 1.7

Upset

Set handicap

Dawid Poloszczanski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Dawid Poloszczanski −1.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Mrugala.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 45% → final 23%

Bartlomiej Mrugala ▼

Biggest swing 59 ptsMrugala recovered from 18%72 points · 5 games