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24 Oct · 00:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JOJacek Oracz
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1670
1-3Final setsNatkaniec won
MNMichal Natkaniec
🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec
ELO 1449
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Oracz at 75%. The actual result was Michal Natkaniec 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jacek Oracz favoured — closing 1.2
Upset
Total 70.5
74 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jacek Oracz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jacek Oracz −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jacek Oracz is favoured to win, below means Michal Natkaniec.

▲ Jacek Oraczpre 80% → final 18%
Michal Natkaniec ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsNatkaniec recovered from 15%72 points · 4 games