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24 Oct · 04:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MSMaciej Sinicki
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1341
3-2Final setsSinicki won
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1278
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sinicki at 56%. The actual result was Maciej Sinicki 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maciej Sinicki favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Set handicap
Maciej Sinicki −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Maciej Sinicki −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Sinicki is favoured to win, below means Dawid Poloszczanski.

▲ Maciej Sinickipre 53% → final 99%
Dawid Poloszczanski ▼
Biggest swing 88 ptsSinicki recovered from 11%72 points · 5 games