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24 Oct · 04:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
IDIgor Dabrowski
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1434
3-2Final setsDabrowski won
KSKacper Szurlej
🇵🇱Kacper Szurlej
ELO 1573
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szurlej at 66%. The actual result was Igor Dabrowski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kacper Szurlej favoured — closing 1.25
Upset
Total 71.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kacper Szurlej −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kacper Szurlej −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
8.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Igor Dabrowski is favoured to win, below means Kacper Szurlej.

▲ Igor Dabrowskipre 29% → final 87%
Kacper Szurlej ▼
Biggest swing 90 ptsDabrowski recovered from 4%72 points · 5 games