24 Oct · 07:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Kacper Szurlej
ELO 1573
FormLWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Szurlej
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1458
FormWLLWL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Szurlej
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)