24 Oct · 05:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1511
0-3Final setsAdach won
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1376
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Pelka at 68%. The actual result was Rafal Adach 0-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Pelka favoured — closing 1.35
Total 72.5
52 points played
Set handicap
Pelka −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Pelka −6.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jerzy Pelka is favoured to win, below means Rafal Adach.
▲ Jerzy Pelkapre 66% → final 7%
Rafal Adach ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsAdach recovered from 34%50 points · 3 games