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24 Oct · 07:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1295
3-2Final setsRolak won
DWDariusz Wrobel
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1344
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wrobel at 56%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Rolak 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wrobel favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 75.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Wrobel −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wrobel −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Rolak is favoured to win, below means Dariusz Wrobel.

▲ Jaroslaw Rolakpre 40% → final 76%
Dariusz Wrobel ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsRolak recovered from 36%72 points · 5 games