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24 Oct · 06:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1274
3-1Final setsPoloszczanski won
WSWaclaw Suchecki
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1224
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poloszczanski at 54%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Suchecki favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 74.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Suchecki −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Suchecki −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Waclaw Suchecki.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 51% → final 99%
Waclaw Suchecki ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsPoloszczanski recovered from 33%72 points · 4 games