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24 Oct · 06:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KSKacper Szurlej
🇵🇱Kacper Szurlej
ELO 1597
3-1Final setsSzurlej won
DWDamian Wasilewski
🇵🇱Damian Wasilewski
ELO 1449
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szurlej at 61%. The actual result was Kacper Szurlej 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Szurlej favoured — closing 1.37
Favourite won
Total 72.5
65 points played
Under
Set handicap
Szurlej −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Szurlej −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kacper Szurlej is favoured to win, below means Damian Wasilewski.

▲ Kacper Szurlejpre 65% → final 98%
Damian Wasilewski ▼
Biggest swing 39 pts63 points · 4 games