24 Oct · 07:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1534
0-3Final setsAdach won
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1376
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 67%. The actual result was Rafal Adach 0-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Kurek favoured — closing 1.35
Total 72.5
62 points played
Set handicap
Kurek −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Kurek −6.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Rafal Adach.
▲ Pawel Kurekpre 72% → final 17%
Rafal Adach ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsAdach recovered from 28%60 points · 3 games