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24 Oct · 08:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DWDamian Wasilewski
🇵🇱Damian Wasilewski
ELO 1449
3-2Final setsWasilewski won
BMBartlomiej Mleczko
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1472
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mleczko at 53%. The actual result was Damian Wasilewski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mleczko favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 73.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mleczko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mleczko −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Damian Wasilewski is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Mleczko.

▲ Damian Wasilewskipre 50% → final 95%
Bartlomiej Mleczko ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsWasilewski recovered from 26%72 points · 5 games